Gerry Connolly makes it official today. He will be a candidate for the Democratic nomination for the US House of Representatives in Virginia’s Eleventh congressional district.
He announces with allegedly $200K in his campaign fund, twice as much as Leslie Byrne…but no word on how he will counter the avalanche of union endorsements she has received.
While Connolly puts much faith in his record of being elected in Fairfax County, it will be interesting to see how his numbers run once you pull out the heavily democratic areas of the eighth district where he received huge majorities in past elections but will not be part of the district he is now running in. Connolly also has never had his name on the ballot in Prince William County.
By the same token, to my knowledge Mr. Connolly has never lost an election. Ms. Byrne has not won a general election since 1999, and has not received a majority in an election since her 1992 congressional campaign.
So it looks like the Democratic field will be:
- Gerry Connolly, who this blog will recognize by their Delta Tau Chi name: ChairGer
Leslie Byrne, who this blog will recognize by their Delta Tau Chi name: LB3
Doug Denneny, who this blog will recognize by their Delta Tau Chi name: D-Day
Lori Alexander, who has yet to receive a Delta Tau Chi name.
This promises to be a real slugfest, and one of the pressing questions at play is how dirty and nasty will it get? Or, to paraphrase the title of a recent movie, “Will There Be Blood?”…or, as the fans of the movie might way, “Will Leslie grab Gerry’s milkshake?”
Making this question even more important is the likelihood that the GOP will rapidly coalesce around Keith Fimian, who has already raised a large warchest.
This race has so many implications and questions it boggles the mind:
Can a candidate who looks like a resident at Foster’s Home for Imaginary Friends get elected to Congress?
Do Union endorsements weigh more than loaded moneybags?
Will Keith Fimian run as a devotee of Tom Davis, or of Ken Cuccinelli, or somewhere in between?
Will either or both major party nominee in Va-11 ultimately top $2 million dollars in campaign funds raised?
How will the political inexperience of D-Day and Lori A fare against their more experienced opponents?
How will the warfare to win an open seat impact fundraising in Va-10…or will it?
For political folks, spring 2008 keeps getting more and more interesting…