Warm up Hall and Oates for Fall 2008-the McCain is picking Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate.
Tactically speaking, this is about as close to a perfect strike as McCain could throw. Palin’s selection will bring the GOP conservative base back into the fold (she is Pro-Life and a life member of the NRA), brings a reform flavor to the ticket, and likely provides a sure mechanism to cut the gender gap.
However, there is a bit of rocks/glass houses aspect of finding a man who has less than four years in the US Senate, has not authored of passed major legislation, talks about bi-partisanship but has done nothing to foster it, nominate him for President, and then claim Palin is inexperienced? Folks, we now have a new living definition of hutzpah.
First prediction: Short of a major factual gaffe, Palin wins the VP debate. The expectations will be so low she will almost have to exceed them. Also, the VP debate is where Joe Biden fires up a gaffe. I predict the overly glib and talkative VP candidate will try to be too clever, and maybe even sneak in a comment that is seen as condescending…and if that happens, watch that gender gap shrink oh-so-fast.
Second prediction: There is an investigation afoot in Alaska as to the circumstances Public Safety Commissioner Walt Monegan left the Palin administration. Some say he was fired because he refused to fire Governor Palin’s brother-in-law, who is separated from her sister and who is accused of doing more than a few bad things…like tasering his son, threatening his father-in-law, etc.
If any of this is true, it is going to make her look good. Americans like folks who stick up for their families. This isn’t old-style Louisana family corruption, where governor x punishes a vendor because he won’t do business with the governor’s brother, or something like that.
You heard it here first.
One other thing. Governor Palin is an attractive woman. In her younger days she even participated in beauty contests. I don’t think that fact cuts a lot of mustard in this campaign, and the more Democrats throw out comments (double entendre or flat our) like the one from AIAW saying Palin is the “pin up girl for the Right Wing”, or calling her a “Trophy VP”…the more folks are going to think she is going to be picked on. You want to go after her experience, Cool and the Gang. No one will mind. But the more demagougic and personal the comments become, the better McCain will do.
The Palin pick is a bold selection, and perhaps was the only one that doesn’t detract somehow for McCain. Lieberman, Romney, Huckabee, etc., all brought some degree of damage.
Looks like this will be a real campaign after all…and Hall and Oates had best start warming up.