Latest Rasmussen Poll-McDonnell up by 13, which is a four point increase in McDonnell’s lead from their last poll.
As for President Obama’s impact:
The Deeds campaign and the White House have gone back-and-forth over whether the president should make a campaign appearance in the state. The initial reaction from Virginia voters to the president’s campaign stop with Deeds late yesterday in Norfolk isn’t reassuring: 39% say Obama campaigning for Deeds in Virginia makes them less likely to vote for the Democratic candidate. Just 24% say it makes them more likely to vote for Deeds, and 36% say it has no impact on their voting decision.
So the Obama trip cut no ice for over 3/4 of the electorate…I think that suggests that while the President is not the overriding factor, he is an active presence for better or for worse.